Friday, March 20, 2015

Using OFIP, An experimental stat to help you draft by.

     Using FIP (a pitcher stat that removes the defense from either boosting for lowering a pitchers ERA), I adapted a stat called OFIP.  Whether it is an official stat or not, I do not know.  It measures both strength and batters eye.  An example of what you might think is: Chris Davis is probably pretty high on the list of 1B.  You would be wrong.  Strikes out entirely to much.  This stat will not help with SB however, so that you have to find on your own.  Most of these hitters have a 260+ batting average.  I spent hours noting down numbers out of a rotowire magazine into this list.  It is not the end all be all.  If you can get Mike Trout, go for it.  These are people that are solid batters who will be there most of the draft. Happy hunting everyone.

                                                       Top 10 by position (27 OF)
Catchers
1. Devin Mesoraco
2. Buster Posey
3. Brian McCann
4. Evan Gattis
5. Jonathon Lucroy
6. Yasmani Grandal
7. Travis D'Arnaud
8. Derek Norris
9. John Jaso
10. Willin Rosario

First Baseman
1. Edwin Encarnacion
2. Victor Martinez
3. Anthony Rizzo
4. Jose Abreau
5. Lucas Duda
6. Albert Pujols
7. Joey Votto
8. Paul Goldschmitt
9. Prince Fielder
10. Adrian Gonzalez

Second Baseman
1. Niel Walker
2. Robinson Cano
3. Ben Zobrist
4. Ian Kinsler
5 Kolten Wong
6. Chase Utley
7. Dustin Pedroia
8. Jose Altuve
9. Joe Panik
10. Scooter Gennett
Second baseman are shallow in this stat, so its a good position to seek SB i.e. Dee Gordon.

Shortstop
1. Troy Tulowitzki
2. Jhonny Peralta
3. Jimmy Rollins
4. Hanley Ramirez
5. Alexei Ramirez
6. Starlin Castro
7. Jordy Mercer
8. Ian Desmond
9. Jose Reyes
10. Erick Aybar

Third Baseman
1. Manny Manchado
2. Josh Donaldson
3. Adrian Beltre
4. Nolan Arenado
5. Todd Fraizer
6. Kyle Seager
7. Ryan Zimmerman
8. Anthony Rendon* -would rank 3rd in the second baseman
9. Kris Bryant
10. Evan Longoria
11. Matt Carpenter

                                     Top 27 OF 
1. Jose Bautista
2. Giancarlo Stanton
3. Nelson Cruz
4. Andrew McCutchen
5. Mike Trout
6. George Springer
7. Corey Dickerson
8. Michael Brantley
9. Coco Crisp
10. Matt Holiday
11. Yasmani Tomas* -maybe the only player on the list based on projections
12. Jayson Worth
13. Carlos Gonzalez
14. Melky Cabrera
15. Matt Kemp
16. Joc Pederson
17. Alex Gordon
18. Michael Cuddyer
19. J.D. Martinez
20. Jacoby Ellsbury
21. Yasiel Puig
22. Carlos Gomez
23. Ryan Braun 
24. Rusney Castillo
25. Adam Jones
26. Jason Heyward
27. Kole Calhoun

Here is an example of a team i drafted this year using this list and some research. I was 8th pick in a 10-team snake roto.

C. Devin Mesoraco
1B. Edwin Encarnacion
2B. Neil Walker
3B. Josh Donaldson
SS. Starlin Castro
2B/SS Elvis Andrus
1B/3B Jose Abreu
OF. Billy Hamilton
OF. Leonys Martin
OF. Melky Cabrera- his batting average makes up for Billy Hamilton
OF. Ben Revere- target this man for a 290+average and 40+ steals
OF. Adam Eaton
UTIL. Victor Martinez
Bench Michael Bourn- Waiting for Denard Span to come back in may.

Pitching is relatively deep these days.
P Corey Kluber
P Trevor Rosenthal
P Gio Gonzalez
P Fernando Rodney
P Jared Weaver
P Rafael Soriano- not the best pick. but closers are tricky
P Ian Kennedy
P Phil Hughes
P Mike Fiers
Bench LaTroy Hawkins
Bench Chris Tillman

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