Monday, March 30, 2015

Top 10 QB's (Pre-Draft, Post Free Agency)

     So I went back and took a look at the top 10 fantasy arms from last year.
1. Aaron Rodgers
2. Andrew Luck
3. Russell Wilson
4. Peyton Manning
5. Ben Roethlisburger
6. Drew Brees
7. Matt Ryan
8. Tom Brady
9. Ryan Tannehill
10. Eli Manning  <------ Wow

  From most of the guys, I expect a repeat performance.  But there are a few that are going to drop significantly.  These are my personal projections and rankings as of today.  The NFL draft will not effect most of these projections, unless something astonishing happens.
                             
                                      C/A     YDS        TD  INT   RUSH     YDS   TD
1. A. Rodgers            341/525    4,445     40    7        45           261     2
2. R. Wilson              288/463    3,610     27    9        108         702     5
3. A. Luck                 343/570    4,236     34    11      70           308     4
4. Big Ben                 406/603    4,808     30    14      30           41       0
T4. P. Manning         385/566    4,483     37    13      23           -22      0
6. TB 12                    410/625    4,421     36    12      31           20       0
7. R. Tannehill          390/601    4,125     30    14      51           287     2
8. M. Ryan                423/618    4,636     28    16      24           78       0
9. D. Brees                376/548    4,522     29    12      25           50       1
10. E. Manning         382/612    4,332     27    16      12           32       0

Honorable Mentions: Tony Romo and Phillip Rivers.

  Rodgers is poised to have a repeat as the reigning best QB in fantasy.  Russell Wilson finally has a target to throw to in Jimmy Graham.  It is not a massive jump, but you can count on him throwing a few more TD's this season.  Luck has Gore in the backfield now, so expect the Colts to scale back the passing attack a tad.  Big Ben and the Steelers are loaded and lost no one from the offensive side of the ball this off season.  Manning will be Manning, but I have my doubts about whether or not new head coach Gary Kubiak is going to be going with an air assault.  I expect to see more play action pass to go with the declining arm strength of Manning.  Tom Brady will be throwing more this year to keep the Patriots in the game.  The losses the Pats suffered this off-season will make New England's games closer, which means more TB12 comebacks.  Ryan Tannehill continues on a steady incline.  Drew Brees is aging and the Saints want to preserve him as long as they can.  With the current mind set that Mark Ingram will take on a bigger load this next season, Brees is going to take a massive hit in fantasy.  Eli Manning can repeat last year with the talent around him, but most of the QB's after Eli are just as good if not better on any given day.  After the top 5 QB's,  there is a massive drop off in points (around 50).  QB is still a deep position this year and should be unless a resurgent RB era occurs in the next five-ten years.

No comments:

Post a Comment