So I went back and took a look at the top 10 fantasy arms from last year.
1. Aaron Rodgers
2. Andrew Luck
3. Russell Wilson
4. Peyton Manning
5. Ben Roethlisburger
6. Drew Brees
7. Matt Ryan
8. Tom Brady
9. Ryan Tannehill
10. Eli Manning <------ Wow
From most of the guys, I expect a repeat performance. But there are a few that are going to drop significantly. These are my personal projections and rankings as of today. The NFL draft will not effect most of these projections, unless something astonishing happens.
C/A YDS TD INT RUSH YDS TD
1. A. Rodgers 341/525 4,445 40 7 45 261 2
2. R. Wilson 288/463 3,610 27 9 108 702 5
3. A. Luck 343/570 4,236 34 11 70 308 4
4. Big Ben 406/603 4,808 30 14 30 41 0
T4. P. Manning 385/566 4,483 37 13 23 -22 0
6. TB 12 410/625 4,421 36 12 31 20 0
7. R. Tannehill 390/601 4,125 30 14 51 287 2
8. M. Ryan 423/618 4,636 28 16 24 78 0
9. D. Brees 376/548 4,522 29 12 25 50 1
10. E. Manning 382/612 4,332 27 16 12 32 0
Honorable Mentions: Tony Romo and Phillip Rivers.
Rodgers is poised to have a repeat as the reigning best QB in fantasy. Russell Wilson finally has a target to throw to in Jimmy Graham. It is not a massive jump, but you can count on him throwing a few more TD's this season. Luck has Gore in the backfield now, so expect the Colts to scale back the passing attack a tad. Big Ben and the Steelers are loaded and lost no one from the offensive side of the ball this off season. Manning will be Manning, but I have my doubts about whether or not new head coach Gary Kubiak is going to be going with an air assault. I expect to see more play action pass to go with the declining arm strength of Manning. Tom Brady will be throwing more this year to keep the Patriots in the game. The losses the Pats suffered this off-season will make New England's games closer, which means more TB12 comebacks. Ryan Tannehill continues on a steady incline. Drew Brees is aging and the Saints want to preserve him as long as they can. With the current mind set that Mark Ingram will take on a bigger load this next season, Brees is going to take a massive hit in fantasy. Eli Manning can repeat last year with the talent around him, but most of the QB's after Eli are just as good if not better on any given day. After the top 5 QB's, there is a massive drop off in points (around 50). QB is still a deep position this year and should be unless a resurgent RB era occurs in the next five-ten years.
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